2024 Iranian presidential election
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Registered | 61,452,321 | |||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 39.93% (first round) Decrease 8.55pp 49.68% (second round)Increase 9.75pp | |||||||||||||||||||
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Early presidential elections in Iran were held on 28 June and 5 July 2024,[1] in which reformist candidate Masoud Pezeshkian won the second round with 54.76% of the vote, beating the conservative principlist Saeed Jalili.
Background[change]
After the death of the then president Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash on 19 May,[2] early elections were announced. Six candidates were approved to appear on the ballot, however two candidates dropped out before voting began. Former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, former Vice President Eshaq Jahangiri and former Speaker Ali Larijani applied to run, however their candidacies were rejected.
Approved candidates[change]
The registration to run for the presidency started on 30 May and ended on 3 June. A total of 80 people, including four women, filed their candidacies for president.[3] Most candidates were seen as conservatives or ultra conservatives.[4]
The final list of candidates was released by the Guardian Council on 9 June.[5] Per Article 99 of the Constitution, those rejected by the council are not allowed to protest the rejection.[6]
Polling[change]
Date | Pollster | Sample size | Margin of error | Jalili | Ghalibaf | Pezeshkian | Hashemi | Zakani | Pourmohammadi | Haven't decided | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 July | Islamic Consultative Assembly[10] | 44.2% | 53.7% | 9.5% | ||||||||
3 July | Iranian Students News Agency[11] | ±2% | 43.9% | 49.5% | 5.6% | |||||||
26 June | Tehran University[12] | 3.5% | 26.8% | 23.3% | 32.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | ||
26 June | Iranian Students Polling Agency[13] | 3589 | 28.8% | 19.1% | 33.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 10.5% | 4.3% | ||
22–24 June | Mellat Opinion Poll Institute (Islamic Consultative Assembly)[14] | 1100 | 16.3% | 16.9% | 23.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 38.4% | 6.6% | ||
22–23 June | Shenaakht[15] | 1000 | 20% | 19% | 28% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 28% | 8% | ||
22–23 June | Imam Sadeq University[16] | 1500 | 21.5% | 23.4% | 24.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2% | 21.8% | 1% | ||
22–23 June | Iranian Students Polling Agency[17] | 4057 | 24% | 14.7% | 24.4% | 2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 30.6% | 0.4% | ||
18–20 June | IRIB[citation needed] | 22.5% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 28.4% | 3% | |||
18–20 June | Mellat Opinion Poll Institute (Islamic Consultative Assembly) [18] | 850 | 18.2% | 20.7% | 18.9% | 4.6% | 2% | 1.8% | 33.8% | 1.8% | ||
18–19 June | Iranian Students Polling Agency[19] | 4545 | 26.2% | 19% | 19.8% | 2.6% | 2% | 0.9% | 27.4% | 6.4% | ||
18–19 June | Imam Sadeq University [20] | 23.5% | 29.3% | 30% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 12.4% | 0.7% | |||
11–13 June | Research Center for Culture, Art and Communication[21] | 36.7% | 30.4% | 28.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 62%[a] | 6.3% | |||
30 May | Beginning of registration |
Results[change]
In the first round, Masoud Pezeshkian won 44%, Saeed Jalili won 40%, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf won 14% and Mostafa Pourmohammadi won less than 1% of the vote. Pezeshkian was the only reformist candidate on the ballot.[22]
Since no candidate won a majority in the first round, a run off vote was held on 5 July between Jalili and Pezeshkian.[23] Pezeshkian won with 55% of the vote. The next day, he was declared the winner of the election.[24][25]
Aftermath[change]
With a 39.93% turnout, the first round of the election saw the lowest participation for a presidential election in the Islamic Republic's history.[26] The turnout improved in the second round to 49.68%.
Pezeshkian will be inaugurated as president in early August.[27][28]
Notes[change]
- ↑ This poll took the percentages of the candidates among those who already had a preference. Hence, this percentage is only representative.
References[change]
- ↑ "Iran to hold presidential elections on June 28 after Raisi's death". Al Arabiya. Archived from the original on 20 May 2024. Retrieved 20 May 2024.
- ↑ "Iran helicopter crash: President Ebrahim Raisi killed in helicopter crash". BBC News. 20 May 2024. Archived from the original on 20 May 2024. Retrieved 20 May 2024.
- ↑ "Iran parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf announces presidential bid". Al Jazeera. Archived from the original on 3 June 2024. Retrieved 3 June 2024.
- ↑ "En Iran, 80 candidats pour une élection présidentielle jouée d'avance". Courrier international (in français). 4 June 2024. Archived from the original on 5 June 2024. Retrieved 6 June 2024.
- ↑ "Ghalibaf among six approved to run in Iran's presidential election". Al Jazeera. 9 June 2024. Archived from the original on 9 June 2024. Retrieved 9 June 2024.
- ↑ "ببینید کاندیداها بعد از اعلام اسامی توسط شورای نگهبان حق اعتراض ندارند!". etemadonline.com. Archived from the original on 11 June 2024. Retrieved 9 June 2024.
- ↑ "Ghazizadeh Hashemi Drops Out of Presidential Race in Favor of Fellow Conservatives". Iran International. 26 June 2024. Archived from the original on 27 June 2024. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ↑ "قاضی زاده هاشمی پوششی از آب درآمد". اعتمادآنلاین (in فارسی). 27 June 2024. Archived from the original on 27 June 2024. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ↑ "Alireza Zakani pulls out of presidential race". Mehr News Agency. 27 June 2024. Archived from the original on 7 July 2024. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
- ↑ "جدیدترین نظرسنجی انتخابات منتشر شد،پزشکیان در صدر". اعتمادآنلاین (in فارسی). 2024-07-05. Archived from the original on 6 July 2024. Retrieved 2024-07-05.
- ↑ "جدیدترین نظرسنجی ایسنا از نتیجه انتخابات ۱۵ تیر؛ مسعود پزشکیان پیشتاز است". اعتمادآنلاین (in فارسی). 2024-07-05. Archived from the original on 6 July 2024. Retrieved 2024-07-05.
- ↑ "جلیلی در چه صورت از پزشکیان شکست میخورد؟ +نظرسنجی". Ettelaat (in فارسی). 27 June 2024. Archived from the original on 28 June 2024. Retrieved 28 June 2024.
- ↑ "آخرین نظرسنجی ایسپا منتشر شد". مرکز افکارسنجی دانشجویان ایران. Archived from the original on 27 June 2024. Retrieved 26 June 2024.
- ↑ "نتایج موج چهارم نظرسنجی انجام شده درخصوص مشارکت در انتخابات". قدس آنلاین (in فارسی). 26 June 2024. Archived from the original on 26 June 2024. Retrieved 26 June 2024.
- ↑ "Shenakht". shenaakht.com. Archived from the original on 26 June 2024. Retrieved 26 June 2024.
- ↑ "نظرسنجی سبد رأی نامزدهای ریاست جمهوری چهاردهم - تسنیم". خبرگزاری تسنیم | Tasnim (in فارسی). Archived from the original on 24 June 2024. Retrieved 26 June 2024.
- ↑ "آخرین نظرسنجی ایسپا منتشر شد". مرکز افکارسنجی دانشجویان ایران. Archived from the original on 26 June 2024. Retrieved 26 June 2024.
- ↑ "Poll: 45.5% of eligible voters will vote in Iran's Friday presidential election". ifpnews.com. 22 June 2024. Archived from the original on 22 June 2024. Retrieved 22 June 2024.
- ↑ "انتشار آخرین یافتههای نظرسنجی انتخاباتی مرکز افکارسنجی جهاددانشگاهی". ایسنا (in فارسی). 20 June 2024. Retrieved 22 June 2024.
- ↑ آنلاین, اطلاعات (20 June 2024). "ریزش آرای یک کاندیدا؛ رقابت نهایی بین چه کسانی است؟". fa (in فارسی). Archived from the original on 21 June 2024. Retrieved 21 June 2024.
- ↑ آنلاین, اطلاعات. "نتایج شوکه کننده یک نظرسنجی| پدیده انتخابات در سایه پیش میرود +عکس". fa (in فارسی). Archived from the original on 16 June 2024. Retrieved 16 June 2024.
- ↑ "Profile: Masoud Pezeshkian, new reformist president of Islamic Republic of Iran". www.aa.com.tr. Archived from the original on 6 July 2024. Retrieved 2024-07-07.
- ↑ Gambrell, Jon; Karimi, Nasser (29 June 2024). "Iran to hold runoff election with reformist Pezeshkian and hard-liner Jalili after low-turnout vote". Associated Press. Archived from the original on 29 June 2024. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ↑ Cassini, Farnaz; Vinograd, Cassandra (5 July 2024). "Reformist Candidate Wins Iran's Presidential Election". The New York Times. Archived from the original on 6 July 2024. Retrieved 5 July 2024.
- ↑ "Centrist Masoud Pezeshkian will be Iran's next president". Al Jazeera. Al Jazeera Media Network. 6 July 2024. Archived from the original on 6 July 2024. Retrieved 6 July 2024.
- ↑ "Iran heads to presidential run-off amid record low turnout". Al Jazeera. 29 June 2024. Archived from the original on 29 June 2024. Retrieved 29 June 2024.
- ↑ Reformist lawmaker Masoud Pezeshkian wins Iran’s presidential vote Archived 6 July 2024 at the Wayback Machine By Nadeen Ebrahim and Michael Rios. 6 July 2024. Retrieved 8 July 2024.
- ↑ Pezeshkian To Be Sworn In As Iran's President Early Next Month Radio Free Europe.By RFE et al. 7 July 2024. Retrieved 8 july 2024.